Super Typhoon Ferdie (Meranti) Threatens to hit, Philippines, Taiwan and China - Now Cat 5 Updates

September 14, 2016


Super typhoon Ferdie (Meranti) now a cat 5 which threatens to hit Northern Philippines, Taiwan and China.  Typhoon Ferdie sustained winds increased to 185 mph, with gusts up to 225 mph, Monday night, U.S. time.

Here's a general timing of when Meranti's impacts may arrive and what they may be. Keep in mind, however, that all of this will be highly dependent on the ultimate track that Meranti takes.

Taiwan

Timing: Meranti's worst potential impacts would be Wednesday, local time (Tuesday night - early Wednesday U.S. time...Taiwan is 12 hours ahead of U.S. EDT).
Possible impacts: Damaging winds, flooding rain, mudslides and storm surge flooding in areas that are prone.
Key Points: Meranti's exact path in relation to southern Taiwan will dictate the severity of the wind impacts, though typhoon-force winds are likely in southern Taiwan no matter what. If Meranti moves along the southern portion of the forecast path, this may keep the strongest winds near the eye just offshore from southern Taiwan. A farther north track would increase the destructive wind potential. Regardless of the wind impacts, heavy rain and flooding will be major concerns. In addition, battering surf and coastal flooding are likely threats along Taiwan's eastern coast.

Northern Philippines

Timing: At the moment, the core of Meranti is forecast to pass north of the northern Philippines' Luzon Island on Tuesday, local time. Meranti is known as Ferdie in the Philippines.
Possible Impacts: The Batanes and Babuyan Islands are the most likely areas to see damaging winds and heavy rainfall, depending on Meranti's path. Far northern Luzon Island should avoid the worst winds, but could see heavy rainfall from Meranti.

China 

Timing: Meranti is forecast to move into southeastern China late Wednesday into Thursday, local time. Areas from Hong Kong northward along the coast should monitor the progress of Meranti closely.
Possible Impacts: Potential threats in eastern China will greatly depend on how much the mountainous terrain of Taiwan disrupts the typhoon. At the very least, heavy rainfall can be expected, which may result in flooding. Damaging winds and storm surge flooding will also be potential threats.
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